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2024-12-14 05:41:20

There have been three shrinking volume piles. I posted a picture for you in the article the day before yesterday. You can have a look. Through the judgment of volume, it is concluded that 3494 points is a high point, because there is no volume to support the rise, which belongs to the nature of attracting more and ship pulled.First, this is mainly reflected in the current situation of A-shares themselves: it is inseparable from the positive, and the hype foundation of A-shares in the past three years is being weakened.It is basically impossible to find out the sectors that have market appeal and can play a leading role. Without a new leading sector, the market will lose its leader. Without a leading sector, how to start the second wave of gains depends on general gains.


The volume pile is shrinking, the volume and price deviate, and the market index deviates. The rise at this stage is ship pulled, and now the market fully meets these characteristics.Second, A-shares from last year's 828 to this year's Spring Festival, and then to the 924 market, three rescues were all aimed at selling the big index stocks, which is the main purpose of all the market from last year to now.During this period, the first two major players were not smooth. Even if they were promoted personally, the effect was not obvious. Finally, they let go of the speculation of small and medium-sized stocks, first boosted their own stocks, and then activated the market through the speculation of small and medium-sized stocks, and guided the funds to the big index stocks. Overall, the effect was not obvious.


Of course, there are still many situations, which are enough to explain the current trend. It is a trend of attracting more people, and I will not list them one by one. My judgment has gone up and down these days, and I keep making mistakes. Maybe it's because I want this wave of market to work normally, so I will adjust it, and it will go up when it goes up, but I just push up the index and go up for the sake of going up. In addition, the trading volume can't be effectively enlarged. Without a new leading plate, I rely on a few big index stocks to control the market. This is ship pulled. Therefore, I am still bearish on tomorrow's A-share market.I think fans and friends have a deep understanding of this point. For example, some stock review articles are titled "Big Good, Heavy, Super", and some of them have the words "Good" every day. It can be seen that the second half of this wave of 924 market is not simply dependent on good, but inseparable.Third, there is no need to do size conversion for the current A-shares.

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